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Thread: Which recent president was the biggest spender? Which was the smallest?
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07-12-12, 08:46 AM #12
Re: Which recent president was the biggest spender? Which was the smallest?
No, he's right. Increasing spending during an economic downturn helps to replace money lost from a shrinking private sector. Will that save all the jobs that would be lost? Obviously not, but I'd gladly take that over not doing anything and losing all those jobs and making the situation worse. The problem is that during the good times, we should be running a surplus to save money for the downturns, when we spend those surpluses. But a certain former president and political party think that cutting revenue and running a deficit during an economic boom is a smart financial decision.
Tariffs and the like would probably be better. You want to move your operation overseas so you can treat third-world countries shitty and screw the American worker? Well, any product you import then will face steep tariffs. I'm decidedly against this race to the bottom and assault on working class people being led by corporations and conservatives.
Like maybe spending money on our crumbling infrastructure or on educating the populace? That is where money SHOULD be spent.
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07-12-12, 09:44 AM #13
He said it's not ALWAYS the best answer and I agree. Especially how it tends/appears to be done.
Tariffs of some sort would be a good idea in several (most?) instances.
And of course to stay true to memedom or mantra (you pick) it's ONLY ever conservatives who run corps who send job overseas or use foreign labor. Ever. Got it. This fallacy never gets old though. Corps (regardless of political affiliation) will outsource or offshore,depending, based on whether or not it makes financial sense for the corp. I don't say this as a way of agreeing with the practice but simply to offer counter to the "reps and corps" chip shot the seems to always make its way in. It's businesses period. Remember that. Doesn't make it right, but try not to distort the argument needlessly.
As for infrastructure spending, this is badly needed in many places in many different scenarios. BADLY. But a lot of the money that should be allocated to infrastructure spending (read repairs or updates) gets "reappropriated" (I'd say stolen) for useless pet projects all over the place.
As for education spending....I'm really of two minds about it. On the one hand I strongly value education and want to see our education system improve and regain some lost ground. However I think we are getting such a terrible return on that investment (and it's getting progressively worse imo) that I think throwing additional funds at it is foolish or at the very least naive in the hope that moar $$$ will magically solve the problems.
Sent via highly charged bolt of electricity.
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07-12-12, 10:27 AM #14
Re: Which recent president was the biggest spender? Which was the smallest?
I'd say it is the ONLY answer, but that the results may not always be what one hoped for.
At least we agree on something.
I'd suggest rereading that line of mine, because you seem to have let your preconceived notions about my views affect your ability to completely understand what I said. I said "race to the bottom," as trying to pay people as little as they can, which is definitely being done by corporations and backed by conservatives who support "free trade" and all that good stuff. Then I said "assault on working class people" and conservatives and their union-busting ways are most definitely anti-worker/pro-management. I never, however, said anything about conservatives being the only people to run corporations or anything like that.
The biggest problem is that there isn't enough money going to repairs or updates at all. There is no money to "reappropriate."
Well, I definitely agree that reforms should be made, but at the same time it is absolutely ridiculous to force kids to go into tens of thousands of dollars of debt just to get an education, if they can even afford it. It really shows how pathetic of a country we have become.
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07-12-12, 11:40 AM #15
Re: Which recent president was the biggest spender? Which was the smallest?
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07-12-12, 11:42 AM #16
Re: Which recent president was the biggest spender? Which was the smallest?
o7
No rereading necessary. I know exactly what you said. My counter point stands.
It is not only "conservatives who support free trade" that are driving corporate labor decisions that affect wages or domestic vs foreign staffing. There are hundred, if not thousands, of corporations that seek to pay the lowest wage the market demands per position. And those corporations are aligned all over the political spectrum, are owned/operated by people all over the political spectrum and donate to people all over the political spectrum. If you can't recognize that reality then there isn't much more to say on this topic. Businesses/Corporations seeking to maximize profits (to one degree or anther) is not the sole province of one type of business. It is the goal of all successful and profitable businesses. (See Apple and manufacturing/supply chain choices for starters).
As for the "union-busting" and "anti-worker/pro-management". Sigh. I have, and will continue to have, issues with many of the present-day unions and their practices. I think that they are not in it for the benefit of their members "first and foremost" but rather in it for the benefit of the Union itself. If the members of the union happen to benefit at the same time that's a bonus but not a requirement. I think that they have, in large part, outlasted their usefulness and in many cases cause at least as much harm as good. They represented a knee-jerk reaction to horrible conditions in the past and served a positive role (albeit not without some terrible stains as well) in correcting many of those and protecting against future issues. However, at this point in time I see them as a parasite in the enviable position of sucking off of two host bodies, that of the companies in the industries they operate within as well as off of the body of their own membership. I think that's wrong. I think they've become, to many of their members, the very thing that they were designed to fight (e.g. unions formed to protect members and shield them from the overbearing corporation - now the union is the overbearing corporation to its own members).
And of course business is "anti-worker".....this makes a lot of sense.... :/ Without the workers there is no business. I am pretty sure that the business knows that full well. But there is a noticeable difference between perspectives of the business versus the worker. That's kind of a no brainer if you ask me. Business' goal is to stay in business by out-competing the competition within the law (not all of them succeed at this I am aware). But that also means not out paying your competition on labor or supplies or etc. It's a cycle of things without question. But arbitrarily increasing the cost of labor (and everything downstream from that labor which = basically everything else) is, imo, not the best approach. Arbitrarily increasing the costs of labor, and therefore supplies/everything, also exposes that corporation or domestic industry to being undercut by a foreign company thus negating the labor increases right off the top because now those companies have to lower costs through some other manner (generally cheaper materials which equals shitty quality which further exacerbates the problem).
Needless to say, this is an extremely complex issue that involves far more than labor costs. But the gist of my argument is that today's Unions have, for the most part imo, contributed negatively to the flexibility of the US Economy and are, in no small part, complicit in the very problems they rail against and that most effect their members (those being lost jobs to overseas entities or off-shoring/outsourcing).
I am referring to money being appropriated (or re-appropriated) for other, imo, wasteful or useless or less useful programs that see funding (decent funding/growing funding/ridiculous funding). The federal government, and right on down to the state and local governments spend stupid amounts of money on "nice to haves" because those are "Sexy" and make for good campaign advertisements and speaking points as opposed to spending money on the important but relatively invisible things like power grid, roads, water treatment & sewage etc etc etc. Those things no one ever thinks about until there's a massive clusterfuck problem. Then everyone is on-board with "We gotta do something" until the next news cycle hits and then it's forgotten again and the money continues to go down the tubes to the visible, sexy and frivolous projects.
K-12 has 0 debt exposure to kids and is performing terribly. And it gets worse every year. It also represents a metric shit-ton of funding at the federal, state and local levels. We as a country are not getting our money's worth out of the existing mechanics. Throwing $$ at it won't resolve the fundamental failings of that system at this point either.
College level education; I completely agree that it is too costly. It's become a business, and a profitable one at that, for many of the colleges and universities. That's shameful and something needs to be done to address the costs of higher education. With that said and out of the way; There are too many people being "coerced" into the higher education system that have no business being there either because 1) of lack of aptitude and they're only there because they can afford it and have been led to believe it's mandatory for success or 2) lack of maturity or desire to learn or give a shit and they're only there because their parents forced them to go and can afford it.
They are driving up the costs of higher education and diluting its effectiveness at the same time. In addition to that, they are occupying valuable seats at those places of learning that should be occupied by some other more valuable (read: desires to be there and has the aptitude to warrant the exposure) candidate.
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07-12-12, 11:57 AM #17
Re: Which recent president was the biggest spender? Which was the smallest?
Yeah, too many wrongs.
There's two things going on here. The first is a counter-cyclical effect. Saying it's something the government "should" do mischaracterizes it; it's something that happens to the government's budget. It happens in two ways (neither of which our government can really do anything about); in a recession, tax receipts go down and spending on programs like unemployment go up.
[You asked someone what classes they'd taken in economics. This stuff is first-semester undergraduate macro. I got more confident with it after my graduate seminar in money and banking, and also in international finance, but you'll find it in any competent undergraduate macro text. I liked Dornbusch and Fischer.]
None of that has anything to do with the desires of the people in office at the time. Some government spending is static (the budget gives X dollars to the DoD), and some spending is dependant on the economy. Spending on safety-net programs isn't static because people qualify based on their particular situation and if the economy gets worse more people qualify. There are a few things the government can do in a current budget year to affect that (change the duration of unemployment benefits, for example), and though I can't think of any off the top of my head there may be a few budget items that are pro-cyclical, but these are minor and the counter-cyclical effect on spending is clear.
Tax receipts - for what I hope are obvious reasons - also depend on the health of the economy.
Spending is counter-cyclical. Tax revenues are cyclical. That means that the surplus/deficit situation will shift as the economy changes. When you make up the budget, tax revenues and some spending have to be estimated. These projections change as time rolls forward because we learn how well our predictions for economic performance match up with what's actually happening.
This effect is true no matter what shape the budget is in. If the economy is booming and we're running huge budget surpluses, we still have to estimate some of the items in the next budget and they will be affected by how things actually work out that year.
[Some things are estimated over many years. For example, demographic shifts affect long-term budget projections. A baby boom will start to have effects on school spending starting about 5 years out, and lasting for 17-ish years plus however long the boom lasts. 65-ish years later, it will start to have other effects as those boomers start to retire. We're beginning to experience the effect of our post-war boomers moving into retirement. Note that this isn't only due to spending - when all those people stop working they stop paying as much income tax.]
[Also, they may be on your shitlist right now, but have a little sympathy for China. They have had a one-child policy for decades, and those chickens are just about ready to come home for roosting. The ratio of old Chinese people to working Chinese people is about to go through the roof. As far as I know, the size of this shift is unprecedented in human history.]
So spending, and the budget position, are naturally counter-cyclical. There's nothing "should" about it. That's just a fact about our modern economies.
The second thing has more to do with that pesky word "should", and I think you have in many ways hit that nail on the head. This is a policy choice. Our government (or nation, or aristocracy, or whoever) has been struggling with this choice since the moment the economic crisis hit and we have thus far come down heavily on the side of "should NOT" spend more. In terms of fiscal policy, ours has been largely an austerity response. The most activist policy has been on the monetary side.
You say,Spending isn't always the answer. Increasing spending is not guaranteed to create jobs, and that money has to come from somewhere, right?
Keynes once made the argument that in a particularly extreme situation (a crazy, almost science-fiction amount of bad) that it would be helpful if the government paid some people to dig holes, and then paid other people to fill them in. His point was that if the economy is perfectly constipated, then any sort of pump-priming is better than nothing. You may agree or disagree with that, but you'll have to stand in line with a bunch of economists to argue the point.
Keynes had a second point there too, which was to distinguish between the value of lubrication (or momentum) to an economy and the value of productive activity. His real point was "well, DUH, of course we shouldn't pay ditch diggers and ditch fillers at the same time, but don't discount how hard it can be to simply get people engaging in economic activity again." He was not just a proponent of strong fiscal policy, he was a proponent of smart policy too.
Increasing spending is guaranteed to create jobs if we do it in an even semi-competent way (which is good news for Congress). It's true we have to get the money from somewhere, but I will note that for months now the long-term interest rate on US debt has been negative.
Please let that steep in your head for a bit. The Interest Rate is Negative. Right now, the demand for US debt is so strong that people are willing to earn LESS THAN ZERO interest on the loan they make to the government. They will PAY the US Treasury to hold their cash in the government's mattress rather than stash it in their own.
We live in interesting times, my friends.
So this post is now too long, and I haven't said what I think of "should", but right now financing doesn't seem to be a problem.
Cheers,
AetheLoveLast edited by AetheLove; 07-12-12 at 04:58 PM. Reason: typos suck
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07-12-12, 01:31 PM #18
Re: Which recent president was the biggest spender? Which was the smallest?
Maybe its just me but i dont buy it. I dont think bush was particularly good at balancing out shit but hasn't like 3 trillion been added to the deficit since obama took the reins? You dont get there by cutting back spending. We all know its not the whole picture but i dont agree with the numbers being given here.
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