The fat lady is just clearing her throat now...

**deathgodusmc** · 08-24-12, 09:01 PM

Originally Posted by hannibal

Wow, we haven't even gotten through the conventions and no one is paying attention, but your calling this one. Nice.

-H

PS I'll just leave this here:
Confirmation bias - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

He isnt calling it but i guess thats just a minor detail right?

**Fovezer** · 08-24-12, 09:10 PM

Originally Posted by deathgodusmc

Like it or not they have been correct thus far. So i would save the lol until after.

No, they haven't. It's a new model and it hasn't predicted anything yet. How about this guy, then? Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

These predictions are based on models. It's important to look at the models and take into account the factors and statistics they use to come up with the model. This new model is deeply flawed. I like Nate Silver because he doesn't "predict" a state going one way or another, he gives a probability or percentage that a state will go for one guy or the other.

**deathgodusmc** · 08-24-12, 09:13 PM

Originally Posted by Fovezer

No, they haven't. It's a new model and it hasn't predicted anything yet. How about this guy, then? Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

These predictions are based on models. It's important to look at the models and take into account the factors and statistics they use to come up with the model. This new model is deeply flawed. I like Nate Silver because he doesn't "predict" a state going one way or another, he gives a probability or percentage that a state will go for one guy or the other.

I read the article hes talking about a couple days ago. They did pick romney and they have been right every time since they made their model.

**Fovezer** · 08-24-12, 09:20 PM

Originally Posted by deathgodusmc

I read the article hes talking about a couple days ago. They did pick romney and they have been right every time since they made their model.

Really? What about the guy who's model has been right every year since 1984 and picked Obama? It doesn't mean shit, and I'll trust Nate Silver's critique of it as a deeply-flawed model. Any model that predicts Minnesota to Romney is moronic.

**deathgodusmc** · 08-24-12, 09:36 PM

Originally Posted by Fovezer

Really? What about the guy who's model has been right every year since 1984 and picked Obama? It doesn't mean shit, and I'll trust Nate Silver's critique of it as a deeply-flawed model. Any model that predicts Minnesota to Romney is moronic.

Well to be honest its irrelevant to what lazarus said that you critiqued him on. Best guess is you read about a different model that has a different outcome this year. Both could have been right up to this year but one will be wrong afterwards. Then you had to add your nonsense about picking romney. Typical fov im right and if you disagree your a moron. Time to wake up buddy.

**~BigTymer~** · 08-24-12, 09:43 PM

Originally Posted by MaFioSo

I will watch it as soon as I can, not sure if "momentum is building".

CNN Poll: Obama 49%-Romney 47% among likely voters – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs

May I ask who you will be voting for this November?

Fox done a poll of likely voters as well.
Favorable for Obama 51% Romney 49%
Unfavorable Obama 46% Romney 44%

Another Poll who do you trust to do a better job on improving the economy & creating jobs.
45% Romney-Ryan
43% Obama-Biden

All polls are pointing to Romney closing the gap. But we still have a long way to go.

Also as far as Mafioso comment about, how can you vote for Romney? 2 things that OBAMA accomplished and only 1 was good.
The good one was getting Bin Laden
The other thing he did do was push through Obama Care and several Democrats don't like it.

You have the White house & both sides of Congress and that's the only thing you got done? PATHETIC!!!
Obama didn't have a record in 08 now he does and that's what you should vote off of.
You have a choice on which way this country is going. You can pick the side of Bigger Government, Higher Taxes and more like Europe or you can choose to get back to the days where you actualy believed you had a chance at a great future minus all the BS in previous years. IN EVERY POLL PEOPLE ARE NOT BETTER OFF THAN THEY WERE FOUR YEARS AGO. Also I seen something today on CNN where middleclass income is less than what it was during the peak of the recession.

Also next year projects 1.2 tril more in debt and what are we getting for it

Anyone is better than Obama and his buddy(the Joke) that makes comments about repubs putting people back in chains and tries to speak like a southern black person while saying he can relate to them even though he himself grew up in a all white not rich but wealthy neighborhood.